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President Obama's Mortgage Refinance Plan
DDA Mortgage • Nov 02, 2011
Mortgage refi plan targets hard-hit borrowers
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — President Barack Obama on Monday unveiled a changed mortgage refinance plan that would allow homeowners who have suffered steep price declines on their properties to get cheaper loans.
The Home Affordable Refinance Program, the only program specifically designed for owners whose mortgages are worth more than the value of their homes, is being changed so that more Fannie Mae- or Freddie Mac-guaranteed mortgages could be refinanced. Use external link to see if Fannie Mae has guaranteed your mortgage. Use external link to see if Freddie Mac has guaranteed your mortgage.
With house prices nationally roughly a third below their peak, there are millions of borrowers who will potentially be eligible to refinance into mortgages near record lows — the 30-year carried an interest rate of 4.11% last week — rather than the mere 894,000 borrowers who have used the program so far.
“These are important steps that will help more homeowners refinance at lower rates, save consumers money and help get folks spending again,” Obama is due to tell an audience in Las Vegas, the city with the highest foreclosure rate in the country. Nevada is the only state which cumulatively is underwater on mortgages.
The new plan does have its limitations: it will require homeowners to be current on their payments and it’s only for loans sold to Fannie or Freddie by May 31, 2009. And of course, not all loans are backed by the housing giants, though state attorneys-general are separately negotiating a settlement with the nation’s top lenders that may include an element of mortgage modification.
“Given the magnitude of the housing bubble, and the huge inventory of unsold homes in places like Nevada, it will take time to solve these challenges,” Obama admitted, according to prepared remarks.
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The Federal Housing Finance Agency, the regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, estimates that refinancing could double under the program. Even so, the program would go only a small way in addressing the roughly 11 million homeowners who are underwater.
To spark interest in HARP, the program will lower fees, eliminate the current 125% loan-to-value ceiling, waive lender warranties and eliminate the need for property appraisals.
White House officials say the refinancing could save owners about $2,500 each year.
Gene Sperling, the director of the National Economic Council, said the key element of the plan is the removal of reps and warranties. “Removing reps and warranties has the potential to unleash competition for housing refinance,” Sperling told reporters on a call.
The industry embraced the initiative.
“Lenders are particularly gratified that the refinements will provide relief from some representations and warranties that lenders face when originating new loans,” said David Stevens, president and chief executive of the Mortgage Bankers Association. “These changes alone should encourage lenders to more actively participate in HARP.”
He cautioned that “it will take a bit of additional time” even after FHFA guidelines are introduced in November to implement them.
Politically, the plan is the start of a once-a-week effort to show the Obama administration can get things done even when legislative efforts are blocked in Congress, according to the New York Times.
For the economy as a whole, the program is seen having only a limited impact.
Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at BNP Paribas, calculates that the program could leave to savings on the order of $2.75 billion — or 0.02% of annual disposable income.
“While the households that benefit will see an increase in disposable income of as much as 5% as a result of lower mortgage payments, in the aggregate, the direct impact is not material from a macroeconomic point of view,” she said in a note to clients.
“This would hold even if the program is more successful than the FHFA anticipates. Nevertheless, indirect benefits of the plan include further lowering delinquency rates and alleviating bank losses to a modest degree.”
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Retirement at 65 has been a longstanding norm for U.S. workers, but older investors believe that not only is such an outcome unfeasible, but they’re likely to face more challenging retirements than their parents or grandparents. This is according to recently released survey results from Nationwide , with a respondent pool that included 518 financial advisers and professionals, as well as 2,346 investors ages 18 and older with investable assets of $10,000 or more. The survey follows other ongoing research into the baby boomer generation as it approaches “ Peak 65 .” The investors included a subset of 391 “pre-retirees“ between the ages of 55 and 65 who are not retired, along with subsets of 346 single women and 726 married women, Nationwide explained of its methodology. Seven in 10 of the pre-retiree investors said that the norm of retirement at age 65 “doesn’t apply to them,” while 67% of this cohort also believe that their own retirement challenges will outweigh those of preceding generations. Stress is changing the perceptions of retired life, especially for those who are closest to retirement, the results suggest. “Four in 10 (41%) pre-retirees said they would continue working in retirement to supplement their income out of necessity, and more than a quarter (27%) plan to live frugally to fund their retirement goals,” the results explained. “What’s more, pre-retirees say their plans to retire have changed over the last 12 months, with 22% expecting to retire later than planned.” Eric Henderson, president of Nationwide Annuity , said that previous generations who observed a “smooth transition” into retired life do not appear to be translating to the current generation making the same move. “Today’s investors are having a tougher time picturing that for themselves as they grapple with inflation and concerns about running out of money in retirement,” Henderson said in a statement. The result is that more pre-retirees are changing their spending habits and aiming to live more inexpensively. Forty-two percent of the surveyed pre-retiree cohort agreed with the idea that managing day-to-day expenses has grown more challenging due to rising costs of living, while 27% attributed inflation as the key reason they are saving less for retirement today. Fifty-seven percent of respondents said that inflation “poses the most immediate challenge to their retirement portfolio over the next 12 months,” while 41% said they were avoiding unnecessary expenses like vacations and leisure shopping. Confidence in the U.S. Social Security program has also fallen, the survey found. “Lack of confidence in the viability of Social Security upon retirement (38%) is a significant factor influencing pre-retirees to rethink or redefine their retirement planning strategies,” the results explained. “Over two-fifths (43%) are not counting on Social Security benefits as much as previously expected, and more than a quarter (27%) expect to receive less in benefits than previously anticipated.” The survey was conducted by The Harris Poll on behalf of Nationwide in January 2024.
Depending on where you live there is an opportunity in certain areas that you can get $2,500 towards the closing costs. You also get a lower rate and monthly PMI. Programs open up to you where there is down payment assistance and also the 1% down program available. I am seeing more and more first-time home buyers coming out now and this is information you need to know. Yes, home prices are higher and rates as well. But if you have these programs available and the payment is affordable then the probability of refinancing down the road is in your favor and if inflation continues to go up so will home prices. Maybe it is the right time to buy a home now? Tune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329
Expect 2024 to be mildly better than 2023 with mortgage rates falling in the second half of the year, housing experts opined in their forecasts at the end of the year. Cuts to the Federal funds rate (and subsequently to mortgage rates) are imminent, traders enthused after December’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in which committee members predicted three rate cuts in 2024. Some experts forecasted as many as six rate cuts in the year based on this news. Rate cuts are still coming, just not in March , traders and market experts reasoned more recently as the economy continued to run hot. And now on the heels of reports of stronger than expected jobs growth and stickier than anticipated inflation , the market’s shift from optimism to pessimism over rate cuts is complete. Some even expect rate hikes before rate cuts. The pessimism is visible in mortgage rates. Freddie Mac‘s weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey is climbing back towards 7%. HousingWire’s Mortgage Rate Center , which relies on data from Polly, is already above 7.2%. Rates were as low as 6.91% for Polly and 6.64% for Freddie as recently as February. On Tuesday, they reached 7.50% on Mortgage News Daily, a high for this year. Mortgage rates hold major power in the housing industry; most importantly, high rates exacerbate the current affordability crisis by walloping the buying power of would-be buyers and discouraging some would-be sellers – those with low, fixed-rate mortgages – from listing their homes, a drain on available inventories. All this leaves housing professionals once again fighting for their share of shrinking pies – as we have observed with recently released mortgage data and RealTrends Verified’s brokerage data , as well as deeper dives on the brokerage landscapes in Jacksonville and San Diego . It is unsurprising, then, that real estate stocks have suffered since the FOMC’s March meeting and the recent job and inflation reports. That includes the nation’s top homebuilders (DR Horton and Lennar), mortgage originators (United Wholesale Mortgage and Rocket Mortgage), brokerages (Anywhere and Compass) and residential search portals (Zillow and CoStar, which owns Homes.com). There are other dynamics at play for some of these companies, however. The brokerages are also contending with the rule changes included in a proposed settlement by the National Association of Realtors; some investors also believe those rule changes advantage CoStar at the expense of Zillow . UWM, meanwhile, is contending with a scathing investigative report by a hedge-fund-affiliated news organization whose hedge fund shorted UWM and went long on Rocket; it is also dealing with pending litigation . UWM denies the allegations made in the report. High mortgage rates, fewer mortgage applications and fewer home sales are unfortunately not the only effects housing professionals could see from a more prolonged high-rate environment. There are also spillover effects from other industries, especially office real estate. Regional banks – which traditionally have been major residential mortgage originators – went big on commercial real estate loans as larger banks scaled back in this area in recent years. That increased their exposure to downtown office towers, which have seen an exodus of tenants and a bottoming out of appraised values just as a record $2.2 trillion in commercial real estate debt comes due over the next few years. That ties up capital that could otherwise flow to residential mortgages and in some cases stresses banks like New York Community Bank, parent of Flagstar Bank — the 7th-largest bank originator of residential mortgages, 5th-largest sub-servicer of mortgage loans and the 2nd-largest mortgage warehouse lender in the country. Homebuilders, too, feel the effects of prolonged high rates. Although homebuilder confidence is still up significantly since last fall, new housing starts are slowing . The dim prospects for homebuyers have turned some investors to the nascent build-to-rent sector , essentially a bet that high rates are here to stay for long enough that would-be buyers are now would-be renters.
