Millions will enter housing market in 2021: Zillow As pandemic dust slowly lifts, even more Americans could flock to secondary cities

Didier Malagies • April 7, 2021

Millions will enter housing market in 2021: Zillow

As pandemic dust slowly lifts, even more Americans could flock to secondary cities



In what will be known to future generations as the Great Reshuffling, a recent Zillow survey showed that more than 1 in 10 Americans reported moving in the past 12 months, either by choice or by circumstance. And now, with the COVID-19 vaccine circulating and the economy slowly regaining strength, Zillow researchers say millions of additional households could enter the housing market in 2021.


Among the surveyed movers, approximately 75% reported moving for positive reasons, such as being closer to family or friends or living in a desired part of the country. That’s a major cause of the Great Reshuffling, as work-from-home became a national norm during the pandemic and allowed people to live wherever they wanted – so long as they had an internet connection.


So-called “secondary cities,” in fact, have seen a massive influx of movers looking to take advantage of bigger homes and larger lots for a fraction of the price they would pay in a metro area. Specifically, housing markets like Portland, MaineBay City, Mich.Pueblo, Colo., and a slew of zip codes in Idaho have become popular mover destinations since the onset of COVID-19.


Zillow also reported an uptick in movers to the South over the past year – specifically, to the Sun Belt cities of Phoenix, Charlotte, N.C., and Austin. Inversely, data from Zillow showed for-sale inventory climb the highest in four major real estate markets – Los Angeles, Chicago, San Francisco, and New York.


“More affordable, medium-sized metro areas across the Sun Belt saw significantly more people coming than going – especially from more expensive, larger cities farther north and on the coasts,” said Jeff Tucker, Zillow senior economist. “The pandemic has catalyzed purchases by millennial first-time buyers, many of whom can now work from anywhere.” 


Real estate agents and LOs: the great collaboration

Technology has given consumers the power of choice and expedited the entire real estate purchasing process. Successful agents, brokerages and loan officers of the future are going to rely significantly on technology to find, nurture and engage with buyers and home sellers while also playing an expanding role as personal advisors.

Presented by: Propertybase


Austin, specifically, could see a population boom in the next year, per Zillow’s Home Price Expectations Survey, which predicts 2021 home value growth in 20 large housing markets compared to the rest of the nation. The Texas capital saw the largest rise in median list prices for homes among the 50 largest U.S. markets; by December 2020, prices were already up 23.6% year-over-year – and still, people flocked to the central Texas city.


While moving itself can be stressful, changing zip codes in 2020 and 2021 seems to be eliciting mostly happiness.


Per Zillow, more than half of Americans said they experienced happiness (54%) and relief (53%) following their move, with nearly 80% saying the move was the correct decision. And approximately 60% said the move led to positive life events, such as a bigger home, a cheaper mortgage, and new experiences in a new city and state. This data factors into what Zillow believes will be approximately 2.5 million new households entering the housing market in 2021.


Finally, Zillow’s housing market report underlined how important the accelerated development and adoption of real estate technology was in the last 12 months, and how buyers and sellers will be relying on it going forward.

Approximately 80% of those surveyed said they would like to view a virtual home tour and a digital floor plan before buying, if they were shopping for a home. Zillow officials said homes on its 3D Home Tour platform were saved by buyers 32% more than homes without, and received, on average, 29% more views than listings without.

Online real estate has trickled down to all aspects of the industry, including with appraisals, closings, and underwriting.




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By Didier Malagies April 28, 2025
After years of identifying the housing market as unhealthy — culminating in a savagely unhealthy housing market in early 2022 — I can confidently assert that the housing market in 2024 and 2025 is on better footing. This transformation sets an extremely positive foundation for what’s to come. Some recent headlines about housing suggest that demand is crashing. However, that’s not the case, as the data below will show. Today on CNBC , I discussed this very point: what is happening now is not only in line with my price forecasts for 2024 and 2025, but it’s why I am so happy to see inventory grow and price growth data cool down. What we saw in late 2020, all of 2021 and early 2022 was not sustainable and we needed higher mortgage rates to cool things down — hence why I was team higher rates early in 2021. The last two years have ushered in a healthier market for the future of existing home sales. Existing home sales Before the existing home sales report was released Thursday, I confidently predicted a month-to-month decline, while estimating the existing home sales print to be just a tad above 4 million. That’s precisely what occurred — no surprises there, as every month in 2025 has consistently exceeded 4 million. However, it’s important to note that our weekly pending home sales data has only recently begun to show growth compared to last year. We have an advantage over the data from the National Association of Realtors since our weekly pending home sales data is updated weekly, making their report somewhat outdated. The notable surprise for me in 2025 is the year-over-year growth we observe in the data, despite elevated mortgage rates. If mortgage rates were ranging between 6%-6.64%, I wouldn’t have been surprised at all because we are working from the lowest bar in sales ever. Purchase application data If someone had said the purchase application data would show positive trends both year to date and year over year by late April, even with mortgage rates not falling significantly below 6.64%, I would have found that hard to believe. Yet, here we are witnessing consistent year-over-year growth . Even with the recent rate spike, which has clearly cooled demand week to week, we are still positive. If mortgage rates can just trend down toward 6% with duration, sales are growing. Housing inventory and price growth While my forecast for national price growth in 2024 at 2.33% was too low and in 2025 at 1.77% may be too low again, it’s encouraging to see a slowdown in price growth, which I believe is a positive sign for the future. The increase in inventory is also promising and supports long-term stability in the housing market. We can anticipate that millions of people will continue to buy homes each year, and projections suggest that we’re on track for another nearly 5 million total home sales in 2025. As wages rise and households are formed, such as through marriage and bringing in dual incomes, this influx of inventory returning to normal levels provides an optimistic outlook. This trend in inventory data is truly heartening. Conclusion With all the data lines I added above, you can see why I have a renewed optimism about the housing market. If price growth significantly outpaced inflation and wages, and inventory wasn’t increasing, I’d be discussing a much different and more concerning state of affairs. Thankfully, that’s not the case. Historically, we’ve observed that when home sales dip due to higher rates, they may remain subdued for a while but ultimately rise again. This is common during recessions, as I discussed in this recent HousingWire Daily podcast . As you can see in the existing home sales data below, we had an epic crash in sales in 2022 but found a base to work from around 4 million. This trend has shaped the landscape of housing economics since post-WWII, reminding us that resilience and recovery are always within reach. 
By Didier Malagies April 28, 2025
1. Cash-Out Refinance How it works: You replace your current mortgage with a new, larger loan and take the difference out in cash. Pros: Often lower interest rates compared to other methods. Longer repayment terms. Cons: Closing costs (typically 2–5% of the loan amount). Resets your loan term (could be 15, 20, or 30 years). Tougher underwriting for investment properties vs primary residences. 2. Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) How it works: You get a revolving line of credit based on your property’s equity. Pros: Flexibility — borrow what you need, when you need it. Pay interest only on what you draw. Cons: HELOCs for investment properties are harder to get and may have higher rates. Variable interest rates (payments can increase). 3. Home Equity Loan ("Second Mortgage") How it works: A lump-sum loan secured by your property's equity, separate from your existing mortgage. Pros: Fixed interest rates and predictable payments. Cons: Higher rates than primary mortgages. Separate loan payment on top of your existing mortgage. 4. Sell the Property How it works: You sell the investment property and realize your equity as cash. Pros: Immediate full access to equity. No debt obligation. Cons: Capital gains taxes may apply. You lose future appreciation and cash flow. 5. Portfolio Loan How it works: A loan based on a group (portfolio) of your properties' combined value and cash flow. Pros: Useful if you have multiple properties. Lenders may be more flexible on qualifications. Cons: Complex underwriting. Higher costs. 6. Private or Hard Money Loan How it works: Short-term, high-interest loan based on property value, not personal credit. Pros: Fast funding (days instead of weeks). Less strict underwriting. Cons: Very high interest rates (often 8%–15%+). Short loan terms (often 6–24 months). 7. Seller Financing (if you're buying another property) How it works: If you own a property free and clear, you could "sell" it and carry financing, creating cash flow and upfront cash through a down payment. Pros: Passive income from note payments. Cons: Risk if the buyer defaults. Key Factors to Think About: How quickly do you need the cash? How much do you want to borrow? How long do you want to be repaying it? How the new debt impacts your overall portfolio. tune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329
By Didier Malagies April 21, 2025
When you're buying a home, it's not just about affording the purchase price or down payment. You’ve got closing costs, moving expenses, and all the “surprise” things that come up after you move in — like needing a new appliance, fixing a plumbing issue, or just furnishing the place. Keeping some cash reserves is smart. A good rule of thumb is to have at least 3-6 months of living expenses saved after the purchase, just in case life throws a curveball. Are you thinking about buying soon or just planning ahead? tune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329
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