Older Americans could become their children’s ‘biggest expense’ in coming years, says aging advocate
Didier Malagies • January 8, 2024
The seniors who are often the parents of Generation X and Generation Y (millennials) could become a pronounced expense for their kids in the coming years, but adult children also want to see their parents successfully age in place.
This is according to a commentary from Sarita Mohanty, president and CEO of elder financial advocacy organization The SCAN Foundation in a commentary published by Fortune.
There will be 16 million “middle-income” seniors in the U.S. by 2033, Mohanty said, citing a 2022 study from the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago.
“As NORC’s research summary explains: ‘Many will struggle to pay for the health, personal care, and housing services they need. […] Even with home equity, nearly 40% will not be able to afford assisted living,’” she cited.
These kinds of expenses have only become more burdensome over time, Mohanty said.
“In 2002, adults over 65 spent $48,000 (adjusted for inflation) a year on average, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics,” she wrote. “Today, the average is $58,000, a more than 20% increase. The average rent and medical costs for those in assisted living currently stand at $65,000 a year.”
The far and away preference for both U.S. seniors and their children is for the seniors to age in place in their own homes, Mohanty said. Citing a survey from Today’s Homeowner, 89% of Americans at or over the age of 55 want to remain in their homes.
But a late 2023 survey by CNBC found that nearly 60% of Americans feel they are not on track to retire comfortably, Mohanty pointed out, and that lack of assurance in their own retirement security means the younger generations are often unprepared to assume any support position for their parents.
“Something has to give,” she said. “If you’re in the sandwich generation – Gen X and older millennials – and want to share in the responsibility for their parents’ retirement, you should begin by thinking of your parents’ retirement plans in the context of your own.”
In December, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced a $40 million notice of funding opportunity to connect seniors in affordable housing with resources that could help them age in place.
The reverse mortgage industry often describes its product as a vehicle that can help older Americans remain in their homes since a core requirement of any reverse mortgage is for the borrower to remain in the property as their primary residence.
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Here’s a clearer breakdown of what lies ahead for Social Security as it turns 90: 1. Trust Fund Depletion: A Real and Growing Threat 2025 Trustees Report projects that the OASI (Old-Age & Survivors Insurance) Trust Fund will be depleted by 2033 . At that time, beneficiaries would receive only about 77% of scheduled benefits. Social Security Peterson Foundation The Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund is expected to remain solvent through at least 2099. Social Security Peterson Foundation If OASI and DI were merged hypothetically, the combined OASDI reserves would be exhausted around 2034 , with roughly 81% of benefits payable at that time. Social Security AARP Other sources echo this timeline: some forecasts suggest insolvency might arrive as early as 2033 or 2034 , with 20–26% cuts unless reforms are enacted. The Week+1 TIME+1 The Sun Kiplinger investopedia.com 2. Contributing Factors to the Crisis Demographics : The worker-to-beneficiary ratio has plummeted—from 16.5 per retiree in 1950 to around 2.7 today—coping with an aging population and declining birth rates. The Sun investopedia.com Peterson Foundation Wikipedia Policy Changes : Recent laws like the Social Security Fairness Act (2025) that restored withheld benefits for certain groups raised payouts without funding offsets, accelerating depletion. AARP investopedia.com Reduced Agency Resources : The SSA saw significant staffing reductions—estimates suggest about 20% of field staff were let go —compromising service delivery. investopedia.com HousingWire 3. What Happens After Depletion? Benefits won't vanish—but if no corrective action is taken, they would be automatically reduced to the level sustainable by ongoing payroll tax revenue—approximately 77–81% of the current scheduled amounts. investopedia.com TIME AARP Peterson Foundation That represents a 19–23% cut in benefits. For instance, a retiree currently receiving $2,000/month would see payments drop to around $1,545–$1,600/month . investopedia.com TIME The Week 4. Solutions & Proposals to Preserve the Program Here are some of the leading ideas under consideration: a. Raising Revenue Payroll Tax Increase Tax hikes—from 12.4% toward 16% —could close funding gaps, though they carry economic trade-offs. The Sun The Week Wikipedia Bipartisan Policy Center Tax Higher Incomes or Remove the Earnings Cap Increasing or eliminating the taxable earnings ceiling, or taxing benefits/investment income, could improve funding. AARP Wikipedia Bipartisan Policy Center Kiplinger b. Reducing or Restructuring Benefits Reduce Benefits for New Recipients A modest 5% cut starting in 2025 could extend solvency only a few more years. AARP Means-Testing or Adjust COLA Lowering cost-of-living adjustments (COLA) or reducing benefits for wealthier retirees could help but are unpopular. AARP Raise Retirement Age Gradually Incremental increases to the full retirement age could yield sizable savings. AARP c. Structural Reforms & Investment Strategies Bipartisan Investment Fund (Cassidy–Kaine Plan) This proposal would inject $1.5 trillion into a separate fund that invests in stocks and bonds, aiming to generate growth over 75 years and preserve all benefits without resorting to general government borrowing. The Washington Post investopedia.com Brookings Blueprint Advocates a system that maintains core principles, ensures universal participation, and restores long-term solvency without expanding general fund use. Brookings 5. The Road Ahead: What’s Likely to Happen? Inaction isn’t an option—delaying reform would escalate the scale of necessary changes. Peterson Foundation The Week Kiplinger Politically, topics like benefit cuts, tax hikes, and raising the retirement age remain extremely sensitive. Successful reform will likely involve a mix of revenue increases, eligibility tweaks, and investment innovations , crafted in a way that spreads burden fairly and maintains public support. Some bipartisan pathways—like the Cassidy–Kaine plan—offer creative long-term strategies, but most require immediate bridging solutions (e.g., modest tax increases or cost adjustments) to prevent cuts in the next decade. Didier Malagies nmls212566 DDA Mortgage nmls324329
