Rate lock data suggests $4 trillion in 2020 mortgage origination volume

Didier Malagies • November 3, 2020

Rate lock data suggests $4 trillion in 2020 mortgage origination volume



New rate lock data suggests 2020 will end with over $4 trillion in mortgage origination volume, easily a record.

The data, from Black Knight’s “Mortgage Monitor” report, shows that rate lock activity in the first half of October was up 4% from September, with purchase locks up 6% and refinance locks up 3%. Add low mortgage rates to the recipe and quarterly mortgage origination volume is expected to reach record levels across both purchase and refi.



This trend portends increased mortgage origination volume moving into Q4, remaining at peak levels through at least November, according to Ben Graboske, president of data and analytics at Black Knight.

“This suggests that origination and prepayment activity will likely remain elevated well into Q4 2020,” he said in a statement. “September lock activity held relatively level with August, but through October 19, lock activity overall is up 4% from the month prior – with purchase locks up 6% and refinance locks up 3% thus far. Interest rates setting new record lows in mid- and late October will likely continue to fuel lock activity in coming weeks.”


Graboske said underlying 45-day rate locks suggest that refinancings in the third quarter could increase by 25% from the second quarter, while purchase mortgage origination volume could spike by 35% or more.

“This would push 2020 purchase lending to the highest level since 2005 and both refinance lending and total origination volumes to their highest levels ever,” Graboske said. “Indeed, total lending in 2020 is well on its way to easily eclipse the $4 trillion mark for the first time in history.”


This record mortgage origination volume is occurring despite increased volatility in the financial markets and the adverse market refinance fee the GSEs have implemented, which is set to take effect on Dec. 1.


Black Knight’s report also found that home price appreciation has risen dramatically since May, attributed to historically low interest rates and limited inventory. According to daily home price tracking data from Black Knight, homes appreciated in value by 11.5% in August and then hit 14.2% growth in September, the highest rate in over 15 years.


The improving economy resulted in a 3.10% drop in delinquencies in September, while the prepayment rate increased 12.7% from August. There are now roughly 821,000 home owners that are a single month behind on payments, down almost 20% from pre-pandemic levels, and the lowest rate since at least 2000, according to Black Knight.


Roughly 18.5 million home owners still meet broad-based underwriting criteria to shave about 75 basis points off their mortgage through a refinancing. That’s about 10.4 million more homeowners eligible than at this time last year. Per Black Knight, the average homeowner could save $304 a month with a new home loan at today’s rates.



Start Your Loan with DDA today
Your local Mortgage Broker

Mortgage Broker Largo
See our Reviews

Looking for more details? Listen to our extended podcast! 

Check out our other helpful videos to learn more about credit and residential mortgages.

Learn about the 40 year , 10 year interest only

By Didier Malagies • August 4, 2025
A 40-year interest-only fixed for 10 years mortgage is a specialized loan product with the following structure: 🔹 Loan Term: 40 Years Total length of the mortgage is 40 years. 🔹 Interest-Only Period: First 10 Years For the first 10 years, the borrower only pays interest on the loan. No principal is paid down during this time (unless the borrower chooses to). Monthly payments are lower because they do not include principal repayment. 🔹 Fixed Interest Rate: First 10 Years The interest rate is fixed during the 10-year interest-only period. This provides payment stability during that time. 🔹 After 10 Years: Principal + Interest After the initial 10 years: The borrower starts making fully amortizing payments (principal + interest). These payments are higher, because: The principal is repaid over the remaining 30 years, not 40. And the interest rate may adjust, depending on loan terms (some convert to an adjustable rate, others stay fixed). ✅ Pros Lower payments early on—can help with cash flow. May be useful if the borrower plans to sell or refinance within 10 years. Good for investors or short-term homeownership plans. ⚠️ Cons No equity is built unless home appreciates or borrower pays extra. Big payment increase after 10 years. Can be risky if income doesn't rise, or if home value declines. 🧠 Example Let’s say: Loan amount: $300,000 Interest rate: 6% fixed for 10 years First 10 years: Only pay interest = $1,500/month After 10 years: Principal + interest on remaining $300,000 over 30 years = ~$1,798/month (assuming same rate) tune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329 

Look for the 10 Year Treasury to come down

By Didier Malagies • July 28, 2025
When the 10-year Treasury yield goes down, it generally signals lower interest rates and increased demand for safe-haven assets like U.S. government bonds. Here’s what typically happens across different areas of the economy and markets: 🔻 Why the 10-Year Treasury Yield Drops Increased demand for bonds: Investors buy Treasuries during uncertain times (e.g., recession fears, geopolitical risk), which drives prices up and yields down. Expectations of lower inflation or interest rates: If the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates or inflation is cooling, yields tend to fall. Weak economic outlook: Slowing growth or a poor jobs report can trigger a yield decline. 📉 Impacts of a Lower 10-Year Treasury Yield 🏦 1. Mortgage Rates and Loans Mortgage rates (especially 30-year fixed) tend to follow the 10-year Treasury. As yields fall, mortgage rates usually decline, making home loans cheaper. This can stimulate the housing market and refinancing activity. 📈 2. Stock Market Lower yields often boost stock prices, especially growth stocks (like tech), because: Borrowing costs are lower. Future earnings are worth more when discounted at a lower rate. Defensive and interest-sensitive sectors (like utilities and real estate) also benefit. 💰 3. Consumer and Business Borrowing Lower Treasury yields can lead to lower interest rates across the board, including for: Auto loans Credit cards Business loans This can boost consumer spending and business investment. 💵 4. U.S. Dollar Falling yields can make U.S. assets less attractive to foreign investors. This can weaken the dollar, which may help U.S. exporters by making goods cheaper abroad. 🪙 5. Inflation Expectations If the yield is falling due to low inflation expectations, it may indicate deflationary pressure. However, if it's just due to safe-haven buying, it might not reflect inflation at all. ⚠️ Potential Risks A sharp drop in the 10-year yield can signal a recession or loss of confidence in the economy. A flattening or inverted yield curve (when short-term rates are higher than long-term) can be a recession warning. tune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329

Mixed Use and Mutlifamily

By Didier Malagies • July 21, 2025
Resi/commercial Typical 2-3 units over a 1-unit ground-floor commercial space LTV’s up to 75% A mixed-use property is a type of real estate development that combines two or more different uses within a single building or development. The most common combination is residential and commercial — for example, apartments or condos above ground-floor retail or office space. 🔑 Key Characteristics of a Mixed-Use Property: Feature Description Use Types Typically includes residential, commercial, retail, office, and sometimes hospitality or industrial components. Zoning Must be zoned for mixed-use by the local municipality. Layout Different uses are separated vertically (e.g., retail on the bottom, housing on top) or horizontally (different sections of the development). Ownership Can be owned by an individual, company, REIT, or government entity; may be leased or sold as separate units. Financing Considered commercial real estate; underwriting depends on the income mix and proportions of use types. 🏢 Common Mixed-Use Examples: Urban Buildings: Apartments above restaurants or retail stores (like Starbucks or a dry cleaner). Suburban Developments: Townhome communities built around a retail plaza or office park. Live/Work Units: Ground-floor office or retail space with a residence above, often used by entrepreneurs. Transit-Oriented Developments: Mixed-use buildings near train stations or bus hubs. 📊 Benefits of Mixed-Use Properties: Diversified Income Streams (residential + commercial) Increased Foot Traffic for businesses Live-Work-Play Environment appeals to urban dwellers Higher Land Use Efficiency and potentially better returns Encouraged by city planning to reduce sprawl and support sustainability A mixed-use property is a type of real estate development that combines two or more different uses within a single building or development. The most common combination is residential and commercial — for example, apartments or condos above ground-floor retail or office space. 🔑 Key Characteristics of a Mixed-Use Property: Feature Description Use Types Typically includes residential, commercial, retail, office, and sometimes hospitality or industrial components. Zoning Must be zoned for mixed-use by the local municipality. Layout Different uses are separated vertically (e.g., retail on bottom, housing on top) or horizontally (different sections of the development). Ownership Can be owned by an individual, company, REIT, or government entity; may be leased or sold as separate units. Financing Considered commercial real estate; underwriting depends on the income mix and proportions of use types. 🏢 Common Mixed-Use Examples: Urban Buildings: Apartments above restaurants or retail stores (like Starbucks or a dry cleaner). Suburban Developments: Townhome communities built around a retail plaza or office park. Live/Work Units: Ground-floor office or retail space with a residence above, often used by entrepreneurs. Transit-Oriented Developments: Mixed-use buildings near train stations or bus hubs. 📊 Benefits of Mixed-Use Properties: Diversified Income Streams (residential + commercial) Increased Foot Traffic for businesses Live-Work-Play Environment appeals to urban dwellers Higher Land Use Efficiency and potentially better returns Encouraged by city planning to reduce sprawl and support sustainability and 🔑 Key Characteristics of 5–10 Unit Multifamily Properties: Feature Description Number of Units 5 to 10 self-contained rental units, each with a kitchen and bathroom. Zoning Generally zoned as multifamily residential or mixed-use, depending on the area. Financing Category Considered commercial real estate by most lenders (5+ units triggers commercial underwriting). Ownership Typically owned by small investors, partnerships, or LLCs. Management Can be owner-managed or managed by a third-party property manager. 4. Private or Bridge Loans Short-term, higher interest Used for rehabs, quick purchases, or properties that don’t qualify for traditional financing 📊 Why Investors Like 5–10 Unit Multifamily: Easier to manage than large apartment complexes More scalable than single-family rentals Still eligible for economies of scale (one roof, one lawn, multiple rents) Can often house hack (live in one unit, rent the others) Tune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329
Show More