Mortgage applications dip as home prices climb Low inventory continues to drive home prices upwards

Didier Malagies • March 25, 2021

Mortgage applications decreased for the third straight week – this time down 2.5%, according to the latest report from the Mortgage Bankers Association.


Refinance activity dropped to its slowest pace since September 2020 – down a full 5% – with declines in both conventional and government applications, according to Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting. He added that mortgage rates have moved higher in tandem with Treasury yields.


“Inadequate housing inventory continues to put upward pressure on home prices,” Kan said. “As both home-price growth and mortgage rates continue this upward trend, we may see affordability challenges become more severe if new and existing supply does not significantly pick up.”


The dip in applications is linked to broader trends in the housing market: more than a year of low inventory is forcing interested buyers to snag whatever they can get their hands on, even if it’s overpriced. That’s coupled with a rise in mortgage rates, too.


A recent Redfin study showed that cash is currently king, with buyers increasing their chance of landing that home they want by nearly 300% if they offer all-cash. For most people, though, that isn’t an option.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate increased to 3.36% last week, and the purchase index increased for the fourth consecutive week – up 3% . The purchase index was up 26% year-over-year, according to the MBA. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 60.9% of total applications, down from 62.9% the previous week.


The FHA share of total mortgage applications remained unchanged at 11.7% from the week prior. The VA share of total mortgage applications decreased to 9.8% from 10.3% the week prior.



Here is a more detailed breakdown of this week’s mortgage application data:

  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($548,250 or less) increased to 3.36% from 3.28%
  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $548,250) increased to 3.4% from 3.34%
  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 3.35% from 3.25% — the third week in a row of increases
  • The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 2.72% from 2.67% – the second week in a row of increases
  • The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs increased to 2.79% from 2.82%



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Is Refinancing Right for You? Unlocking Cash & Financial Freedom Feeling squeezed? Juggling multiple debts with varying interest rates? Dreaming of that kitchen remodel you've been putting off? Or maybe you just need a little extra breathing room in your monthly budget? You're not alone. Many homeowners find themselves in situations where they need access to cash, and for a significant portion of them, the answer is refinancing their mortgage. In fact, last year, a whopping 40% of all mortgage activity was refinances! But what exactly is driving this trend, and could refinancing be the right move for you ? Refinancing to Unlock Cash: Home Improvements, Debt Consolidation, and More One of the primary drivers behind the refinance boom is the desire to tap into home equity. Your home is likely your largest asset, and as you pay down your mortgage and your property value increases, you build equity. A cash-out refinance allows you to borrow against that equity, receiving the difference in cash at closing. Home Renovations and Upgrades Imagine finally getting that dream kitchen! Or adding a much-needed bathroom. Home improvements not only enhance your living space, but they can also significantly increase your home's value. Instead of relying on high-interest credit cards or personal loans, a cash-out refinance provides a more affordable way to finance these projects. Debt Consolidation: Streamline Your Finances Are you overwhelmed by multiple credit card bills, student loans, or other high-interest debts? A cash-out refinance can be a powerful tool for debt consolidation. By using the cash from your refinance to pay off these debts, you can simplify your finances, potentially lower your overall interest rate, and reduce your monthly payments. This can free up cash flow and make it easier to manage your finances. Unexpected Expenses and Opportunities Life throws curveballs. Unexpected medical bills, job loss, or even a fantastic investment opportunity can create a need for immediate cash. A cash-out refinance can provide a financial safety net, allowing you to address these situations without resorting to high-interest options. Beyond Lower Rates: Other Reasons to Refinance While a lower interest rate is often the primary motivation for refinancing, it's important to recognize that it's not the only reason homeowners choose to refinance. Many factors contribute to the decision, and sometimes, a lower rate isn't even the main goal. Switching Loan Types: From ARM to Fixed-Rate Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) can be attractive with their initially lower interest rates. However, as the name suggests, the rate can adjust over time, potentially leading to higher monthly payments. Refinancing from an ARM to a fixed-rate mortgage provides peace of mind by locking in a stable interest rate for the life of the loan. 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Refinancing can be a way to get a new appraisal and demonstrate that you've reached the required equity threshold, allowing you to eliminate this extra monthly expense. You can reach out to us through our contact page to learn more about your specific scenario. The Rise of Cash-Out Refinancing: A 2023 Trend As we mentioned earlier, a substantial portion of 2023 refinance volume was cash-out refinancing. This indicates a shift in homeowner priorities. While securing lower interest rates remains important, the need for accessing equity for various financial needs is becoming increasingly prevalent. Economic Factors Influencing Refinance Decisions Several economic factors contribute to the popularity of cash-out refinancing. Rising home values have created more equity for homeowners to tap into. Additionally, inflation and rising costs of living are putting pressure on household budgets, making debt consolidation and access to cash more appealing. Economic uncertainly may lead homeowners to consolidate their debts and protect against future economic shock. Weighing the Pros and Cons: Is Cash-Out Refinancing Right for You? While cash-out refinancing can be a valuable tool, it's crucial to carefully consider the pros and cons before making a decision. On the positive side, it can provide access to cash for important needs, consolidate debt, and potentially lower your overall interest rate. However, it also means taking on a larger mortgage, potentially extending your loan term, and paying closing costs. A recent [Housing Wire article]( "") discussed the importance of working with an expert to determine what option is best for each homeowner. Important Considerations Before You Refinance Assess Your Financial Situation: Carefully evaluate your current debt obligations, income, and expenses. Compare Interest Rates and Fees: Shop around for the best refinance rates and terms. Don't just focus on the interest rate; consider all associated fees. Calculate the Break-Even Point: Determine how long it will take to recoup the closing costs associated with refinancing. Understand the Tax Implications: Consult with a tax advisor to understand any potential tax implications of refinancing. Does Refinancing Make Sense to Consolidate Debt? Let's Talk! Refinancing can be a powerful tool for achieving your financial goals, whether it's consolidating debt, funding home improvements, or simply gaining more financial flexibility. But it's not a one-size-fits-all solution. That's why it's essential to work with a trusted mortgage professional who can assess your individual needs and help you determine if refinancing is the right choice for you. At DDA Mortgage, we're committed to providing personalized guidance and helping you navigate the complexities of the mortgage process. If you're considering refinancing, we encourage you to contact us today for a free consultation. Let us help you explore your options and find the best solution for your unique situation. Check out our Refinancing page to learn more, and then reach out to one of our team members! Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any financial decisions. Interest rates and loan terms are subject to change without notice.
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